Hailey Baptiste vs Daria Kasatkina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In the realm of head-to-head statistics, Daria Kasatkina holds a slight advantage over Hailey Baptiste. They have faced off once before, with Kasatkina emerging victorious. In that encounter, which took place at the Korea Open in Seoul on September 19, 2024, on a hard surface, Kasatkina claimed the match in straight sets with a score of 6-4, 6-2. This victory contributes to a significant head-to-head prediction dynamic, given that Baptiste did not secure a win in any sets played between the two. Additionally, the average match time between these players has been 1:17:56, and there have been no deciding sets or tiebreaks in their encounters.

When evaluating second serve performance, Baptiste has demonstrated stronger recent form, winning 45.07% of points on her second serve compared to Kasatkina's 37.09%. However, in terms of return game effectiveness, Kasatkina shines by winning 53.9% of her opponents' second serve points, surpassing Baptiste's 44.42%. As for first serve returns, Kasatkina again leads with 35.59%, whereas Baptiste trails at 28.91%. These return stats often correlate highly with match predictions, hence favoring Kasatkina in this match-up.

Looking at under-pressure performance, Kasatkina has saved 45.98% of breakpoints, while Baptiste has a slightly higher breakpoint save percentage at 55.47%. In terms of converting breakpoints, Kasatkina leads with a conversion rate of 41.48% against Baptiste's 32.7%. These statistics provide insight into potential in-game scenarios and betting predictions. Over the past year, Kasatkina has exhibited a stronger match win rate of 62.3% compared to Baptiste's 55.56%, with Kasatkina often competing on the Main tour, winning 72.41% of those encounters, while Baptiste has participated mainly in the Masters series, securing 65% of her matches.

Surface preference further adds to the analysis, with Kasatkina's best career win percentage on clay at 70%, while Baptiste's optimal surface is also clay, where she has a 62% win percentage. On hard surfaces, Kasatkina's win rate drops slightly to 58%, contrasting with Baptiste's 50% win rate on indoor hard courts. Furthermore, Kasatkina has faced opponents with an average rank of 57.39 over the last year, considerably tougher than Baptiste’s average opponent rank of 174.2. Deciding set performances also favor Kasatkina, who has won 61% of such sets compared to Baptiste’s 56%.

Based on these comprehensive statistics, Kasatkina appears to have a stronger profile heading into the upcoming match against Baptiste. Her historical performance, return game strength, and ability to prevail under pressure positions her as the likely winner of this encounter. While Baptiste has shown commendable second serve resilience, Kasatkina’s all-around effectiveness and past victories suggest she will emerge victorious again in their next meeting.